Publications

Working Papers

Income-Indemnity Long-Term Care Insurance: Selection, Informal Care and Precautionary Savings

1 Mar 2017

Shang Wu, Hazel Bateman, Ralph Stevens, and Susan Thorp

We study the demand for income-indemnity long term care (LTC) insurance, a product that pays income in LTC states whether care services are used or not. We conduct an experimental survey where participants divide their (hypothetical) retirement savings between three products: a LTC income product, a life annuity and a liquid investment account.

Objective measures of exposure to LTC risk indicate little to no selection eects for the LTC income product. However subjective measures of exposure to LTC risk show that the LTC income product is more attractive to participants who perceive a higher risk that they will need LTC. This could either indicate adverse selection due to private information or subjective mis-measurement by participants of their future LTC costs.

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Research Publications

Modified Delphi Consensus to Suggest Key Elements of Stepping On Falls Prevention Program.

20 Feb 2017

Mahoney, J. E., Clemson, L., Schlotthauer, A., Mack, K. A., Shea, T., Gobel, V., & Cech, S. (2017). Frontiers in Public Health.

Research Publications

Emergency Department Utilisation by Older People in Metropolitan Melbourne, 2008–12: Findings from the Reducing Older Patient’s Avoidable Presentations for Emergency Care Treatment (REDIRECT) Study.

20 Feb 2017

Mazza D., Pearce C., Joe A., Turner L.R., Brijnath B., Browning C., Shearer M., Lowthian J. (2017) Australian Health Review.

Research Publications

Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases in 6 Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Findings From Wave 1 of the World Health Organization's Study on Global Ageing and Adult Health (SAGE)

18 Feb 2017

Arokiasamy, P., Uttamacharya, Kowal, P., Capistrant, B.D., Gildner, T.E., Thiele, E., Biritwum, R.B., Yawson, A.E., Mensah, G., Maximova, T., Wu, F., Guo, Y., Zheng, Y., Kalula, S., Rodríguez, A.S., Espinoza, B.M., Liebert, M.A., Eick, G., Sterner, K.N., Barrett, T.M., Duedu, K., Gonzales, E., Ng, N., Negin, J., Jiang, Y., Byles, J., Lorna, M., Minicuci, N., Snodgrass, J.J., Naidoo, N., Chatterji, S. (2017) American Journal of Epidemiology.

Research Publications

PrevenTing Falls in a High-risk, Vision-impaired Population through Specialist ORientation and Mobility Services: Protocol for the PlaTFORM Randomised Trial

13 Feb 2017

Keay, L., Dillon, L., Clemson, L., Tiedemann, A., Sherrington, C., McCluskey, P., Ramulu, P., Jan, S., Rogers, K., Martin, J., Tinsley, F., Jakobsen, K., Ivers, R. Q. (2017). Injury Prevention.

Research Publications

Integrated Solutions for Sustainable Fall Prevention in Primary Care, the iSOLVE Project: a Type 2 Hybrid Effectiveness-implementation Design.

7 Feb 2017

Clemson, L., Mackenzie, L., Roberts, C., Poulos, R. G., Tan, A., Lovarini, M., Sherrington, C., Simpson, J.M., Willis, K., Lam, M., Tiedemann, A., Pond, D., Peiris, D., Hilmer, S., Pit, S.W.,Howard, K., Lovitt, L., White, F. (2017). Implementation Science.

Research Publications

Circumstances of Falls with Fractured Femur in Residents of Australian Nursing Homes: An Analysis of Falls Reports.

5 Feb 2017

Mackenzie L.A., Byles .JE. (2017) Journal of Aging and Health.

Research Publications

Default and Naïve Diversification Heuristics in Annuity Choice.

1 Feb 2017

Bateman, H., Eckert, C., Iskhakov, F., Louviere, J., Satchell, S., and Thorp, S. (2017). Australian Journal of Management.

Research Publications

Polypharmacy in Older Adults: Association Rule and Frequent-Set Analysis to Evaluate Concomitant Medication Use.

1 Feb 2017

Held F, Le Couteur DG, Blyth FM, Hirani V, Naganathan V, Waite LM, Seibel MJ, Handelsman DJ, Cumming RG, Allore HG, Gnjidic D. (2017) Pharmacological Research.

Research Publications

Health Status, Health Behaviours and Anxiety Symptoms of Older Male Caregivers - Findings from the Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project.

1 Feb 2017

Shu, C.C., Cumming, R.G., Kendig, H., Blyth, F.M., Waite, L.M., Le Couteur, D.G., Handelsman, D.J. and Naganathan, V. (2017). Australasian Journal on Ageing.

Research Publications

The Use of Secondments as a Tool to Increase Knowledge Translation.

1 Feb 2017

O'Donoughue Jenkins, L., Anstey, K.J. (2017). Public Health Research & Practice.

Research Publications

Prevalence and Determinants of Undetected Dementia in the Community: A Systematic Literature Review and a Meta-Analysis.

1 Feb 2017

Lang, L., Clifford A., Wei, L., Zhang, D., Leung, D., Augustine, G., Danat, I., Zhou, W., Copeland, J., Anstey, K.J. and Chen, R. (2017). BMJ Open.

Research Publications

Proportion of dementia in Australia Explained by Common Modifiable Risk Factors.

1 Feb 2017

Ashby-Mitchell, Burns, R., Shaw, J. and Anstey, K.J. (2017). Alzheimer's Research & Therapy.

Research Publications

Hysterectomy and Incidence of Depressive Symptoms in Midlife Women: the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health.

1 Feb 2017

Wilson, L., Pandeya, N., Byles, J. and Mishra, G.(2017). Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences.

Research Publications

The Use of Secondments as a Tool to Increase Knowledge Translation.

1 Feb 2017

O’Donoughue Jenkins, L. and Anstey, K.J.(2017). Public Health Research & Practice.

Working Papers

Pricing and Hedging Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefits under a General Levy Framework using the COS Method

1 Feb 2017

Jennifer Alonso Garcia, Oliver Wood and Jonathan Ziveyi

This paper extends the Fourier-cosine (COS) method to the pricing and hedging of variable annuities embedded with guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) riders. The COS method facilitates efficient computation of prices and hedge ratios of the GMWB riders when the underlying fund dynamics evolve under the influence of the general class of Levy processes. Formulae are derived to value the contract at each withdrawal date using a backward recursive dynamic programming algorithm.

Numerical comparisons are performed with results presented in Bacinello et al. (2014) and Luo and Shevchenko (2014) to confirm the accuracy of the method. The efficiency of the proposed method is assessed by making comparisons with the approach presented in Bacinello et al. (2014). We find that the COS method presents highly accurate results with notably fast computational times.

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Working Papers

The Impact of Demographic Change on Labour Supply and Economic Growth: Can APEC Meet the Challenges Ahead?

1 Feb 2017

Rafal Chomik, John Piggott and Peter McDonald

APEC economies encompass a wide range of socio-economic profiles – poor to rich, young to old, regulated to free market. These differences can be instructive for those seeking international policy lessons. They also create new opportunities for cooperation that have the potential to improve wellbeing across member economies. How economies and regions manage demographic change will define their success in what will be an ‘ageing century’.

To write an overview paper on the role of demographic change on labour force and economic growth in APEC requires some unifying framework to organise the issues. Here we apply a supply-side, GDP accounting framework to decompose the contribution of population, participation, and productivity to GDP per capita (the 3P’s).

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Working Papers

Pricing of GMWB Options in Variable Annuities under Stochastic Volatility, Stochastic Interest Rates and Stochastic Mortality via the Componentwise Splitting Method

1 Feb 2017

Nikolay Gudkov, Katja Ignatieva and Jonathan Ziveyi

This paper values Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) riders embedded in variable annuities assuming that the underlying fund dynamics evolve under the influence of stochastic interest rates, stochastic volatility, stochastic mortality and equity risk. The valuation problem is formulated as a partial differential equation (PDE) which is solved numerically by employing the operator splitting method.

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Working Papers

Optimal Surrender of Guaranteed Minimum Maturity Benefits under Stochastic Volatility and Interest Rates

1 Feb 2017

Boda Kang and Jonathan Ziveyi

In this paper we analyse how the policyholder surrender behaviour is influenced by changes in various sources of risk impacting a variable annuity (VA) contract embedded with a guaranteed minimum maturity benefit rider that can be surrendered anytime prior to maturity. We model the underlying mutual fund dynamics by combining a Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model together with a Hull and White (1990) stochastic interest rate process.

The model is able to capture the smile/skew often observed on equity option markets (Grzelak and Oosterlee, 2011) as well as the influence of the interest rates on the early surrender decisions as noted from our analysis.

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Working Papers

The Norwegian Pension Reform, An External Perspective

1 Feb 2017

George Kudrna

Like many other developed countries, Norway is facing a rapid ageing of its population that is attributed to both falling mortality and fertility rates in the past and projected life-expectancy increases over the next several decades. According to United Nations (2015), it is projected for Norway that by 2060, the share of the population 65+ will increase to over 25% (from 16% in 2015) and the potential support ratio will drop to 2 people in the labour force for each person aged 65 years and over.

Such fundamental demographic change will have wide-ranging implications for the Norwegian economy and, in particular, for its National Insurance Scheme (NIS) that provides citizens with old-age and disability pensions. It is estimated that if the old pre-reform National Insurance Scheme had remained unchanged, the government expenditure on the old-age pension would have more than doubled from about 6% of GDP in 2013 to 13% of GDP by 2060, with additional spending of around 4% of GDP on disability pension (Fredriksen et al., 2015).

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Research Publications

Falls amongst Older People in Southeast Asia: a Scoping Review

21 Jan 2017

Romli, M. H., Mackenzie, L., Tan, M. P., Lovarini, M., & Clemson, L. (2017). Public Health.

Research Publications

The Interrater and Test-Retest Reliability of the Home Falls and Accidents Screening Tool (HOME FAST) in Malaysia: Using Raters with a Range of Professional Backgrounds

20 Jan 2017

Romli, M. H., Mackenzie, L., Lovarini, M., & Clemson, L. (2017). Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice.

Research Publications

Measurement of Functional Cognition and Complex Everyday Activities in Older Adults with Mild Cognitive Impairment and Mild Dementia: Validity of the Large Allen's Cognitive Level Screen.

4 Jan 2017

Wesson, J., Clemson, L., Crawford, J. D., Kochan, N. A., Brodaty, H., & Reppermund, S. (2017). American Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry.

Research Publications

A Budget Proposal for China's Public Long-Term Care Policy

1 Jan 2017

Lu, B., Liu, X. and Yang, M. (2017). Journal of Aging and Social Policy.

Research Publications

Association between Dietary Patterns, Cadmium Intake and Chronic Kidney Disease among Adults.

1 Jan 2017

Shi Z., Taylor A.W., Riley M., Byles J., Liu J., Noakes M.(2017) Clinical Nutrition.

Research Publications

The Experience of Malaysian Occupational Therapists in Conducting Home Assessments and Home Visits with Older Clients.

1 Jan 2017

Romli, M. H., Mackenzie, L., Tan, M. P., Lovarini, M., & Clemson, L. (2017). Malaysian Journal of Medicine and Health Sciences.

Research Publications

Self-Forgiveness in Older Adulthood.

1 Jan 2017

Windsor, T.D. (2017) in Woodyatt, L., Worthington, E.L., Wenzel, M. and Griffin, B.J. (Eds.) Handbook of the Psychology of Self-Forgiveness.

Research Publications

The Australian Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ALSA).

1 Jan 2017

Windsor, T.D. and Luszcz, M.A. (2017) in Pachana, A.N. (Ed.) Encylopedia of Geropsychology.

Research Publications

Late Life Transitions.

1 Jan 2017

Windsor, T.D. (2017) in Pachana, A.N. (Ed.) Encylopedia of Geropsychology.

Research Publications

The Challenges of Implementing Age Friendly in Australia.

1 Jan 2017

Kendig, H., Gong, C. and Cannon, L. (2017) in Buffel, T., Handler, S. and Phillipson, C. (Eds.) Age-friendly Communities: A Global Perspective.

Research Publications

Baby Boomer Ageing and Spirituality: Same or Different.

1 Jan 2017

Mackinley, E. and Burns, R.A. (2017) in Mackinley, E. (Ed.) The Spiritual Dimension of Ageing, Second Edition.

Research Publications

The Melbourne Longitudinal Studies on Healthy Ageing Program (MELSHA)

1 Jan 2017

Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (2017) in Pachana, A.N. (Ed.) Encylopedia of Geropsychology.

Research Publications

Healthy Ageing.

1 Jan 2017

Browning, C., Thomas, S., Ory, M. and Kendig, H. (2017) in Pachana, A.N. (Ed.), Encylopedia of Geropsychology.

Research Publications

Direction and Choices for the Future.

1 Jan 2017

Kendig, H. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

Research Publications

Care and Support for Older People.

1 Jan 2017

Jeon, Y. and Kendig, H. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

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Research Publications

Primary Health Care and Older People.

1 Jan 2017

Browning, C., Davis, J. and Thomas, S. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

Research Publications

Retirement Income.

1 Jan 2017

Bateman, H., Chomik, R. and Piggott, J. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

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Research Publications

Health and Ageing.

1 Jan 2017

Byles, J. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

Research Publications

Population Ageing: A Demographic Perspective.

1 Jan 2017

McDonald, P. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

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Research Publications

Attitudes to Ageing.

1 Jan 2017

O'Loughlin, K. and Kendig, H. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

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Research Publications

Australian Developments in Ageing: Issues and History.

1 Jan 2017

Kendig, H. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

Research Publications

Introduction: Challenges and Opportunities.

1 Jan 2017

O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (2017) in O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

Research Publications

Ageing in Australia: Challenges and Opportunities.

1 Jan 2017

O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig, H. (Eds) (2017). Springer.

Research Publications

Nutrition Label Experience and Consumption of Transitional Foods Among a Nationwide Cohort of 42,750 Thai Adults.

1 Jan 2017

Rimpeekool, W., Kirk, M., Yiengprugsawan, V., Banwell, C., Seubsman, S. and Sleigh A.C. (2017). British Food Journal.

Research Publications

Low Back Pain and Limitations of Daily Living in Asia: Longitudinal Findings in the Thai Cohort Study.

1 Jan 2017

Yiengprugsawan, V., Hoy, D., Buchbinder, R., Bain, C., Seubsman, S. and Sleigh, A.C. (2017). BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders.

Research Publications

Updating the Evidence on the Association Between Serum Cholesterol and Risk of Late-Life Dementia: Review and Meta-Analysis.

1 Jan 2017

Anstey, K.J., Ashby-Mitchell, K. and Peters, R. (2017). Journal of Alzheimer's Disease.

Research Publications

Cancer and Cognitive Function: The PATH Through Life Project.

1 Jan 2017

Kim, S., Cherbuin, N. and Anstey, K.J. (2017). The Journals of Gerontology. Series A, Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences.

Research Publications

Association of AKAP6 and MIR2113 with Cognitive Performance in a Population Based Sample of Older Adults.

1 Jan 2017

Andrews, S.J., Das, D., Anstey, K.J. and Easteal, S. (2017). Genes Brain Behaviour.

Research Publications

Introduction: Challenges and Opportunities

1 Jan 2017

O'Loughlin, K., Browning, C. and Kendig H. (2017). In Ageing in Australia: Challenged and Opportunities. K. O'Loughlin, C. Bronwing and H. Kendig (Eds).

Research Publications

Ageism: We are our own Worst Enemy

1 Jan 2017

Sargent-Cox, K.(2017). International Psychogeriatrics.

Working Papers

Selection in Employer Provided Health Insurance

1 Jan 2017

Elena Capatina

Approximately one in four workers aged 25-40 who lacked private health insurance in 2010 in the US did not enroll in employer-provided health insurance (EPHI) that was available to them. In this paper, I study selection in EPHI among eligible employees using data from the Medical Expenditures Panel Survey from 2001 to 2010 and from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth ’97 in 2010.

Controlling for firm and job characteristics that proxy for the choice of plans and premiums faced by workers, I find that individuals aged 25-40 who decline EPHI and remain privately uninsured have significantly worse health and health behaviors than those who enroll. No correlation between health and insurance take up is found in the 41-64 age group.

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Research Publications

The Clinimetric Properties of Instruments Measuring Home Hazards for Older People at Risk of Falling: A Systematic Review.

22 Dec 2016

Romli, M. H., Mackenzie, L., Lovarini, M., Tan, M. P., & Clemson, L. (2017). Evaluation & the Health Professions.

Research Publications

Time to Question Diabetes Self-management Support for Arabic-speaking Migrants: Exploring a New Model of Care.

20 Dec 2016

Alzubaidi, H., Mc Namara, K., & Browning, C. (2017). Diabetic Medicine.

Research Publications

Men's Perspectives on Fall Risk and Fall Prevention following Participation in a Group-based Programme Conducted at Men's Sheds, Australia

15 Dec 2016

Liddle, J. L. M., Lovarini, M., Clemson, L. M., Jang, H. Y., Willis, K., Lord, S. R., & Sherrington, C. (2017). Health & Social Care in the Community.

Working Papers

Comparing Budget Repair Measures for a Small Open Economy with Growing Debt

1 Dec 2016

George Kudrna and Chung Tran

In this study, we quantify the macroeconomic and welfare effects of alternative fiscal consolidation plans in the context of a small open economy. Using a computable overlapping generations model tailored to the Australian economy, we examine immediate and gradual eliminations of the existing fiscal deficit with (i) temporary income tax hikes, (ii) temporary consumption tax hikes and (iii) temporary transfer payment cuts.

The simulation results indicate that all three examined fiscal measures result in favourable long-run macroeconomic and welfare outcomes, but have adverse consequences in the short run that are particularly severe under the immediate fiscal consolidation plan. Moreover, our results show that cutting transfer payments leads to the worst welfare outcome for all generations currently alive, and especially the poor. Increasing the consumption tax rate results in smaller welfare losses, but compared to raising income taxes, the current poor households pay much larger welfare costs.

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Working Papers

Fiscal Space under Demographic Shift

1 Dec 2016

Christine Ma and Chung Tran

To what extent does population ageing limit fiscal capacity and affect fiscal sustainability? We answer this question through lens of fiscal space defined by budgetary room between the current tax revenue and the peak of Laffer curves. We use a dynamic general equilibrium, overlapping generations model calibrated to data from Japan and USA. Our findings show that the evolution of underlying demographic structures plays an important tole in shaping a country's fiscal capacity.

There will be significant contractions in fiscal space in Japan and USA when the two countries enter their late stage of demographic transition in 2040. In particular, the results from the model calibrated to Japan indicates that an increase in old-age dependency ration to over 70 percent can reduce Japan's fiscal space by 36 percent.

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Research Publications

Caregiving and Mental Health among Workers: Longitudinal Evidence from a Large Cohort of Adults in Thailand

1 Dec 2016

Yiengprugsawan, V., Leach, L., Berecki-Gisolf, J., Kendig, H., Harley, D., Seubsman, S. and Sleigh, A.C. (2016). Social Science and Medicine - Population Health, 2, 149-154.

Research Publications

Evaluating and Using Observational Evidence: The Contrasting View of Policy and Epidemiologists

1 Dec 2016

O’Donoughue, L.J., Kelly, P.M., Cherbuin, N. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Frontiers in Public Health.

Research Publications

Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms and Incident Falls in Community-dwelling Older Men: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Dec 2016

Noguchi, M., Chan, L., Cumming, R.G., Blyth, F.M., Handelsman, D.J., Seibel, M.J., Waite, L.M., Le Couteur, D.G. and Naganathan, V. (2016). Journal of Urology, 196(6), 1694-1699.

Research Publications

A Longitudinal Examination of the Relationship between Cannabis use and Cognitive Function in Mid-life Adults

1 Dec 2016

McKetin, R., Parasu, P., Cherbuin, N., Eramudugolla, R. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 169,134-140.

Research Publications

Memory Resilience to Alzheimer’s Genetic Risk: Sex Effects in Predictor Profiles.

1 Dec 2016

McDermott, K.L., McFall, G.P., Andrews, S.J., Anstey, K.J. and Dixon, R.A. (2016). Journal of Gerontology: Psychological Sciences. In press (available online December 2016).

Research Publications

Longitudinal Associations between Body Composition, Sarcopenic Obesity and Outcomes of Frailty, Disability, Institutionalisation and Mortality in Community Dwelling Older Men: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Dec 2016

Hirani, V., Naganathan, V., Blyth, B., Le Couteur, D., Seibel, M., Waite, L., Handelsman, D. and Cumming R.G. (2016). Age and Ageing. In press (available online December 2016).

Research Publications

First Impressions Matter: An Experimental Investigation of Online Financial Advice

1 Dec 2016

Agnew, J.R., Bateman, H., Eckert, C., Iskhakov, F., Louviere, J., Satchell, S. and Thorp, S. (2016). Management Science.

Research Publications

Measuring Moderate-intensity Walking in Older Adults Using the ActiGraph Accelerometer

1 Dec 2016

Barnett, A., van den Hoek, D., Barnett, D. and Cerin, E. (2016). BMC Geriatrics, 16(211).

Research Publications

Population Ageing in Asia and the Pacific: Dependency Metrics for Policy

1 Dec 2016

Chomik, R., McDonald, P. and Piggott, J. (2016). The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 8, 5-18.

Working Papers

Tax Expenditures on Pensions: Concepts, Concerns and Misconceptions

30 Nov 2016

Rafal Chomik and John Piggott

Abstract: Pension savings commonly attract lower taxes to encourage self-provision or to maintain neutrality between current and future consumption. As a result, in countries where funded pensions are prominent, tax costs appear large and poorly targeted while benefits seem unsubstantiated. Yet much of the criticism of tax arrangements is misconceived. In this paper we explain the basic concepts, tackle concerns related to the scale and fairness of tax expenditures, and present policy reform proposals. We do this by way of illustrative examples of saving over the lifecycle and across the earnings distribution. These are based on the Australian retirement income system – an instructive case, since it has significant pre-funding and high levels of measured tax expenditures that, in turn, attract considerable political interest.

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Research Publications

Improving Fidelity of Translation of the Stepping On Falls Prevention Program through Root Cause Analysis

14 Nov 2016

Mahoney, J. E., Gobel, V. L., Shea, T., Janczewski, J., Cech, S., & Clemson, L. (2017). Frontiers in Public Health.

Research Publications

Exercise for Preventing Falls in Older People Living in the Community. (Protocol)

4 Nov 2016

Sherrington, C., Tiedemann, A., Fairhall, N., Hopewell, S., Michaleff, Z., Howard, K., . Clemson, L. & Lamb, S. (2016). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews.

Reports & Government Submissions

Submission to the Senate Inquiry into the Superannuation Reform Bills

1 Nov 2016

Rafal Chomik, John Piggott and Marc de Cure

This submission was prepared for the Senate inquiry into the Superannuation (Excess Transfer Balance Tax) Bill 2016 [Provisions] and Treasury Laws Amendment (Fair and Sustainable Superannuation) Bill 2016 [Provisions].

More details on this inquiry can be found here.

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Research Publications

Prevalence of Depressed Mood Versus Anhedonia in Older Persons: Implications for Clinical Practice

1 Nov 2016

Sharpley, C.F., Hussain, R., Wark, S.G., Bitsika, V., McEvoy, M.A. and Attia, J.R. (2016). Asia Pacific Journal of Counselling & Psychotherapy. In press (available online November 2016).

Research Publications

Sarcopenic Obesity and its Temporal Associations with Changes in Bone Mineral Density, Incident Falls and Fractures in Older Men: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Nov 2016

Scott, D., Seibel, M., Cumming, R.G., Naganathan, V., Blyth, F., Le Couteur, D., Handelsman, D., Waite, L. and Hirani, V. (2016). Journal of Bone and Mineral Research. In press (available online November 2016).

Research Publications

Retirement Savings: A Tale of Decisions and Defaults

1 Nov 2016

Dobrescu, L.I., Fan, X., Bateman, H., Newell, B.R., Ortmann, A. and Thorp, S. (2016). The Economic Journal. In press (available online November 2016).

Research Publications

ACT Health, Population Health Prevention & Protection and the ANU Collaborate to Address Chronic Disease

1 Nov 2016

Anstey, K.J. and Ashby-Mitchell, K. (2016). ACT Population Health Bulletin, 5(4), 13-14.

Research Publications

Longevity Risk Management and Shareholder Value for a Life Annuity Business

1 Nov 2016

Blackburn, C., Hanewald, K., Olivieri, A. and Sherris, M. (2016). ASTIN Bulletin. In press (available online November 2016).

Research Publications

Sex and Age Trends in Australia's Suicide Rate over the Last Decade: Something is Still Seriously Wrong with Men in Mid and Late-life

1 Nov 2016

Burns, R.A. (2016). Psychiatry Research, 13(245), 224-229.

Research Publications

Associations of Objectively-assessed Neighbourhood Characteristics with Older Adults’ total Physical Activity and Sedentary time in an Ultra-dense Urban Environment: Findings from the ALECS Study

1 Nov 2016

Cerin, E., Zhang, C.J.P., Barnett, A., Sit, C.P.H., Cheung, M.C.M., Johnston, J.M., Lai, P.C. and Lee, R.S.Y. (2016). Health and Place, 42, 1-10.

Research Publications

Australian Superannuation: The Current State of Play

1 Nov 2016

Chomik, R. and Piggott, J. (2016). The Australian Economic Review, 49(4), 483-493.

Research Publications

Risk Factors, Incidence, Consequences and Prevention Strategies for Falls and Fall-injury within Older Indigenous Populations: a Systematic Review

23 Oct 2016

Lukaszyk, C., Harvey, L., Sherrington, C., Keay, L., Tiedemann, A., Coombes, J, Clemson, L. & Ivers, R. (2016) Australian New Zealand Journal Public Health.

Research Publications

The Association between Physical Activity and Social Isolation in Community-dwelling Older Adults.

13 Oct 2016

Robins, L., Hill, K., Finch, C., Clemson, L., & Haines, T. (2016). Aging & Mental Health.

Working Papers

Sustainable Development Goals, Population Ageing and Social Security in Asia

1 Oct 2016

Rafal Chomik

There is a growing recognition that social security systems with a wide scope and comprehensive coverage are an essential part of sustainable development and an ambition worth pursuing vigorously. This is also the case in countries with traditionally family-oriented support frameworks such as Asia.

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Research Publications

Exercise to Prevent Falls in Older Adults: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

1 Oct 2016

Sherrington, C., Michaleff, Z.A., Fairhall, N., Paul, S.S., Tiedemann, A., Whitney, J., Cumming, R.G., Herbert, R.D., Close, J.C.T. and Lord, S.R. (2016). British Journal of Sports Medicine. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

Performance-Based Assessment of Instrumental Activities of Daily Living: Validation of the Sydney Test of Activities of Daily Living in Memory Disorders (STAM)

1 Oct 2016

Reppermund, S., Birch, R.C., Crawford, J.D., Wesson, J., Draper, B., Kochan, N.A., Trollor, J.N., Luttenberger, K., Brodarty, H. and Sachdev, P.S. (2016). Journal of the American Medical Directors Association. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

The Relationship between Behavioral Changes, Cognitive Symptoms, and Functional Disability in Primary Progressive Aphasia: A Longitudinal Study

1 Oct 2016

O’Connor, C.M., Clemson, L., Flanagan, E., Kaizik, C., Brodaty, H., Hodges, J.R., Piguet, O. and Mioshi, E. (2016). Dementia and Geriatric Cognitive Disorders, 42(3-4), 215-256.

Research Publications

Associations between Corpus Callosum size and ADHD Symptoms in Older Adults: The PATH Through Life Study

1 Oct 2016

Luders, E., Kurth, F., Das, D., Oyarce, D.E., Shaw, M.E., Sachdev, P., Easteal, S., Anstey, K.J. and Cherbuin N. (2016). Psychiatry Research, 256, 8-14.

Research Publications

Evidence Based Occupational Therapy for People with Dementia and their Families: What Clinical Practice Guidelines tell us and Implications for Practice

1 Oct 2016

Laver, K., Cumming, R.G., Dyer, S.M., Agar, M.R., Anstey, K.J., Beattie, E., Brodaty, H., Broe, G., Clemson, L., Crotty, M., Dietz, M., Draper, B.M., Flicker, L., Friel, M., Heuzenroeder, L.M., Koch, S., Kurrle, S., Nay, R., Pond, C.D., Thompson, J., Santalucia, Y., Whitehead, C. and Yates, M. (2016). Australian Occupational Therapy Journal. In press (available online September 2016).

Research Publications

Estimating the Years Lived With and Without Age-Related Sensory Impairment

1 Oct 2016

Kiely, K., Mitchell, P., Gopinath, B., Luszcz, M., Jagger, C. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, 71(5), 637-642.

Research Publications

Beyond Widowhood: Do Prior Discovered Themes that Describe the Experiences of Older Australian Widowed Women Persist Over Time?

1 Oct 2016

Kennaugh, R., Byles, J.E. and Tavener, M. (2016). Women and Health, 56(7), 827-842.

Research Publications

Drug Burden Index and Change in Cognition over Time in Community Dwelling Older Men: The CHAMP Study

1 Oct 2016

Jamsen, K.M., Gnjidic, D., Hilmer, S.N., Ilomaki, J., Le Couteur, D.G., Blyth, F.M., Handelsman, D.J., Naganathan, V., Waite, L., Cumming, R.G. and Bell, J.S. (2016). Annals of Medicine. In press (available online November 2016).

Research Publications

Comparison of a Virtual Older Driver Assessment with an On-road Driving Test

1 Oct 2016

Eramudugolla, R., Price, J., Chopra, S., Amoy, Z. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

There's more than Meets the Eye: Complex Associations of Daily Pain, Physical Symptoms, and Self-efficacy with Activity in Middle and Older Adulthood

1 Oct 2016

Curtis, R.G., Windsor, T.D., Mogle, J.A., and Bielak, A.A.M. (2016). Gerontology. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

Health Insurance Coverage among Women in Indonesia’s Major Cities: A Multilevel Analysis

1 Oct 2016

Christiani, Y., Byles, J.E., Tavener, M. and Dugdale, P. (2016). Health Care for Women International. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

Occupational Therapy Pre-discharge Home Visits in Acute Hospital Care: A Randomized Trial

1 Oct 2016

Clemson, L., Lannin, N., Wales, K., Rubenstein, L.Z., Gitlin, L., Barris, S., Mackenzie, L. and Cameron, I.D. (2016). Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 64(10), 2019-2026.

Research Publications

Exercise Interventions for the Improvement of Falls-related Outcomes among Older Adults with Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review and Meta-analyses.

30 Sep 2016

Chapman, A., Meyer, C., Renehan, E., Hill, K., & Browning, C. J. (2017) Journal of Diabetes and its Complications.

Fact Sheets

The Constellations of Demography

1 Sep 2016

Rafal Chomik

This Fact Sheet traces the global distribution of age groups across continents and countries and over time, as if comparing the dimensions of stars and planets.

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Working Papers

The Effect of Labour Transitions on Public Pension Financing

1 Sep 2016

Jennifer Alonso-García and Beatriz Rosado-Cebrián

The recent global financial crisis has intensified the public debate on the sustainability of pay-as-you-go pension schemes. The economic risk is expanding the effects of the already existent demographic risk in most European countries. Our objective is to analyse the effect of the alarming unemployment and inactivity patterns in Spain as of 2016 on the income from contributions and pension expenditures with respect to the GDP by using the Aggregate Accounting framework.

We analyse the pension expenditures for the current pattern as well as for full employment and conclude that while the economic risk outweighs the demographic risk until 2040, the main driver of expenditures lies in the ratio of pensioners to working age population in the long run.

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Working Papers

Adequacy, Fairness and Sustainability of Pay-As-You-Go-Pension-Systems: Defined Benefit versus Defined Contribution

1 Sep 2016

Jennifer Alonso-Garcia, Maria del Carmen Boado-Penas and Pierre Devolder

There are three main challenges facing public pension systems. First, pension systems need to provide an adequate income for pensioners in the retirement phase. Second, participants wish a fair level of benefits in relation to the contributions paid. Last but no least, the pension system would need to be financially sustainable in the long run.

In this paper, we analyse defined benefit versus defined contribution schemes in terms of adequacy, fairness and sustainability jointly. Also, risk sharing mechanisms, that involve changes in the key variables of the system, are designed to restore the financial sustainability at the same time that we study their consequences on the adequacy and fairness of the system.

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Research Publications

Multimorbidity, Health and Aging in Canada and Australia: A Tale of Two Countries

1 Sep 2016

Wister, A.V., Kendig, H., Mitchell, B., Fyffe, I. and Loh, V. (2016). BMC Geriatrics, 16(163)

Research Publications

Estimating Functional Cognition in Older Adults using Observational Assessments of Task Performance in Complex Everyday Activities: A Systematic Review and Evaluation of Measurement Properties

1 Sep 2016

Wesson, J., Clemson, L., Brodaty, H. and Reppermund, S. (2016). Neuroscience and Biobehavioral Reviews, 68, 335-360.

Research Publications

Anxiety and Comorbid Depression Following Traumatic Brain Injury in a Community-based Sample of Young, Middle-aged and Older Adults

1 Sep 2016

Osborn, A.J., Mathias, J.L., Fairweather-Schmidt, A.K. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Journal of Affective Disorders. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

Gendered Ageism in Australia: Changing Perceptions of Age Discrimination among Older Men and Women

1 Sep 2016

McGann, M., Ong, R., Bowman, D., Duncan, A., Kimberley, H. and Biggs, S. (2016). Economic Papers, 35(4), 375-388.