Publications
Reports & Government Submissions

Submission to the Productivity Roundtable: Mid-Life Skills, Productivity, and Australia’s Ageing Workforce

John Piggott, Bruce Chapman, and Peter Dawkins

Australia is facing a demographic shift that will profoundly affect its economic and labour market performance. By 2050, nearly 40% of the adult population will be aged 55 or older. At the same time, Australia’s labour force growth is expected to slow, and the traditional working-age share of the population (15–64) will decline. In this context, a clear opportunity exists to increase both productivity and labour force participation through targeted investment in mid-life skills training.

This submission argues that underinvestment in mid-life skills development is holding back productivity growth and contributing to lower participation among older workers, and that this under- investment is to a significant degree due to a lack of income support. The problem is not just about individual outcomes: it has macroeconomic consequences. Workers who are not supported to adapt and upskill are more likely to withdraw early from the labour force or remain underutilised. Yet Australia lacks an inclusive, scalable, and financially accessible policy framework to support such training. Internationally, initiatives of this kind have been mixed, but the Singapore example is very comprehensive: the Singaporean Futureskills initiative. Chomik et al. (2021) provides an overview of options to tap into the mature workforce in the Australian context.

Reports & Government Submissions

Submission to the Strategic Examination of Research and Development (SERD) in Australia

Frederik Anseel, Marc de Cure and John Piggott

The Australian economic, social, and commercial environment significantly influences the research and development (R&D) landscape. The funding structures, institutional frameworks, and commercial viability of R&D in Australia present both opportunities and constraints. Given the size and composition of Australia’s economy, the role of social sciences within the R&D ecosystem is critical. International perspectives highlight how strategic investment in social sciences enhances policy formulation, economic resilience, and societal well-being.

 

Reports & Government Submissions

Reports and Government Submissions 2011-2024

CEPAR was established in March 2011 to undertake high-impact, independent, multidisciplinary research and build research capacity in the field of population ageing. Funded primarily by two seven-year grants from the Australian Research Council, with generous support from the collaborating universities and partner organisations, the ARC Centre of Excellence undertook an extensive research program and a wide range of education and outreach activities to support its mission to produce and promulgate research of the highest quality to optimise social and economic outcomes for an ageing world.

The second ARC Centre of Excellence funding term ended on 27 September 2024, with research outputs for the period 1 January – 27 September 2024 published here (although outputs will continue to be produced well beyond this timeframe):

 

CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Leading for Age Diversity: Evaluation of the Ascent Leadership Program

Leah Zoszak, Eva Zellman, Daniela Andrei, and Sharon Parker

This report provides insights on leading for an inclusive workforce. As the population ages, the plan to ensure Australia’s economic success will inevitably include strategies that harness the contribution of mature workers. With up to five generations currently in the workforce, it is important that these strategies also focus on age-diversity to promote cohesion across intergenerational work groups. Previous research suggests that leaders hold a pivotal role in influencing team productivity and wellbeing. Unfortunately, very few Diversity & Inclusion (D&I) strategies specifically address age as a factor. For example, age is rarely part of inclusive leadership training despite the fact that leaders often do not know how to achieve age-beneficial outcomes. The Ascent Leadership Program presented in this report is an innovative, evidence-based approach to improve how we lead for age-diversity. The report shows that leaders do experience challenges in leading age-diverse workforce, but that Include, Individualise, and Integrate (“3I”) meta-strategies can be used by leaders to address these challenges. When organisations employ evidence-based leadership development like the “3I” framework, they cultivate the growth of leaders who are motivated and able to build more age-inclusive workplaces.

This report will be of interest to HR, D&I, and Learning & Development professionals. Business leaders wishing to attract and engage an age-diverse workforce may also benefit from these results and adopting a proactive approach to embedding the “3I” model into organisational D&I strategies.

CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Mature Workers in Organisations: Understanding Retirement in Australia

Laura Bennett, Daniela Andrei, Leah Zoszak, Cecilia Runneboom, Jane Chong, David Pitt

With an ageing Australian workforce, understanding retirement intentions, decision making processes, and successful transitions to retirement become increasingly valuable at the economic, organisational, and individual levels. In making this report, CEPAR collaborated with an Australian financial advisory firm to complete eighteen interviews with mature workers and recently retired individuals from diverse (Australian) geographical and career backgrounds, to investigate the changing nature of retirement aspirations and outcomes, and to form multi-level recommendations to support successful transitions into retirement. 

CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Barriers and Enablers to the Multigenerational Workforce

Catherine Rickwood, Natasha Ginnivan, Meiwei Li, Mitiku Hambisa, Kaarin J. Anstey

A recent CEPAR (2021) report brought to light several opportunities for accessing the ageing population including the need for employers to have better strategies to recruit and retain older workers. The 3i framework of Include, Individualise and Integrate, outlined by CEPAR researchers, Professor Sharon Parker and Senior Research Fellow Dr Daniela Andrei, provides a broad approach for organisations to manage mature workers.

The results and findings presented in this report contribute to the knowledge in this area. The need to understand the enablers and barriers for creating a multigenerational workforce across age groups and seniority is considered critical. For organisations to embrace age diversity it’s essential that senior executives and managers know what’s required for older and younger workers to effectively and harmoniously work together for individual and collective benefit.

Through an extensive qualitative research program that included interviews with senior executives and multiple focus groups with employees aged 25+ with a leading financial institution and national retailer, we’re delighted to contribute to this field of research. Findings reveal that building intergenerational mentorship and training programs for managers and teams; identifying, understanding and addressing communication differences; and introducing recruitment policies and practices that encourage and support age diversity are some of the factors critical to championing a multigenerational workforce.

CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Caught between Obligation and Exclusion: The Plight of Mature Age Jobseekers in Australia’s Employment Services System

Cheryl Sykes and Marylène Gagné

This report presents a detailed qualitative study of mature age individuals navigating Australia's mandatory employment services while on income support. Aimed at exploring the challenges and experiences of these jobseekers, the study utilised open comments from online surveys across five time intervals with a sample of 173 respondents. Participants comments are discussed through three themes:

  • The impact of 'mutual obligations’ requirements and ‘work first’ policy settings.

  • The quality and value of the service received from employment service providers.

  • Interactions with the labour market and employers.

Additional quantitative insights were gained on two other factors of interest: occupational and worker identities and their relationship with future job prospects.

 

cepar
Reports & Government Submissions

Submission on Legislating the Objective of Superannuation

Marc de Cure, John Piggott, Hazel Bateman, Rafal Chomik, and Michael Sherris

This submission to the Australian Government’s consultation on the objective of superannuation comments on the Consultation Paper on Legislating the Objective of Superannuation. The submission has two parts: The first directly addresses the consultation questions; the second raises issues with the consultation paper not covered by our responses to the consultation questions. 

CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Balancing Work and Family Life during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Who Fared Better and Worse?

Andreea Constantin, Myra Hamilton, Marian Baird

It is well established that having care responsibilities can affect paid work and wellbeing, but the last two years have generated new pressures for those with care responsibilities. The coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in strict public health and social protective measures that resulted in partial or full closure of essential services for children, people with a disability or chronic illness, and frail older people. Many unpaid carers, including those in employment, found themselves juggling additional care responsibilities with much less of the regular support they would normally receive from family, friends, schools, and formal care services such as early childhood education and care, disability care, aged care, and other community services.

Much of the research on the impacts of the pandemic on work-life reconciliation has focused on parents of young children. People with care responsibilities for other family members, such as ageing relatives, relatives with a disability or chronic illness, or grandchildren, have been much less studied during the pandemic. Carers of these groups are more likely to be aged 45 and above. This report aims to fill this gap in research by exploring the circumstances of mature Australians (aged 45 and above) who had care responsibilities during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic.

In order to understand the experiences of mature-aged carers (including carers of an ageing relative, carers of a person with a disability or chronic illness, grandparents, and parental carers, described collectively in this report as ‘carers’), the research team surveyed a panel of Australians aged 45 and above between June 2020 and October 2021 about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on various aspects of their work, family lives and wellbeing. Data was collected at four separate time points: June 2020, November 2020, April 2021 and October 2021. This analysis offers insights into how mature Australians reconciled their family and care responsibilities with paid work in the context of the pandemic across the four time points.

We found that carers and non-carers had equally supportive employers in terms of flexible work options. But this flexibility did not always translate into better work-life reconciliation. Carers struggled more than non-carers to meet their family/care responsibilities because of their work and found it more difficult to carry out their work because of their family/care responsibilities. Female carers fared worse than their male counterparts.

Younger mature carers (aged 45-54) struggled more than their older counterparts, with less support from their employers for flexible work arrangements in the first three surveyed time points and with poorer work-life balance. The better work-life balance and lower work-life conflict observed among carers aged 65 years and above was revealed to be partly a result of working fewer hours per week on average.

Mature Australians with care responsibilities for older relatives reported the least supportive employers when it came to flexibility. They also had the highest levels of work-life conflict among all groups of carers. Respondents caring for people with a disability or chronic illness or dependent children also reported high levels of work-life conflict at particular time points.

workers in the CBD
Reports & Government Submissions

An Employer Lens on COVID-19: Adapting to change in Australian workplaces

Marian Baird, Myra Hamilton, Lisa Gulesserian, Alison Williams, Sharon Parker

This report provides the first detailed analysis of how Australian employers have experienced and adapted to COVID-19. Between May to October 2020, the research team interviewed 32 leaders, managers and officers at 28 organisations across Australia. Employers from 14 private, 11 government (federal, state and local) and three not-for-profit organisations participated, with between 8 and 35,000 employees in seven states and territories. Employers were in industries including advertising, community services, engineering, fast-moving consumer goods, government, healthcare, higher education, hospitality, insurance, pharmaceutical, professional services/legal, publishing, retail, telecommunications, transport, utilities, and wholesale.

Many surveys on COVID-19 in 2020 focused on worker preferences. This study uniquely focuses on the employer response. While not representative of all businesses in Australia, the actions of the 28 participating organisations and the findings from our analysis highlight innovations in response to government directives to work from home and the emergence of good practices that may transform the work-life balance of Australians.

The findings are reported in five sections, based on thematic analysis of the interview data.

CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Submission to the Royal Commission on Aged Care Quality: Aged Care Financing

Rafal Chomik and John Piggott 

This submission has grown from a series of interactions with the Royal Commission into Aged Care Quality and Safety secretariat, broadly focused on the question of financing aged care. Communications with the Commission have included a series of questions on this topic. This submission provides responses to these questions, but provide a broader frame for context and coherence.

Federal Budget
Reports & Government Submissions

20K Now or 50K Later? What’s Driving People’s Decision to Withdraw their Super?

Hazel Bateman, Robbie Campo, David Constable, Isabella Dobrescu, Ailsa Goodwin, Junhao Liu, Ben R Newell and Susan Thorp

By mid-August 2020, Australian superannuation fund members had made more than 3 million applications to withdraw retirement savings under the COVID-19 Superannuation Early Release Scheme, supporting more than $31B in payments. The relaxation of conditions for early release of superannuation savings changed a fundamental feature of the Australian retirement savings system. Responses of members to the early release scheme highlight the effectiveness of the standard superannuation preservation rules. Early withdrawals have short-term and long-term consequences for individual members who take payments under the scheme, and for society as a whole.
We report results of a survey of over 3,000 members of Cbus, a leading industry fund, who withdrew some or all of their superannuation savings in the first phase of the COVID-19 early release scheme between April and June 2020.

Major findings include:

  • Surveyed COVID-19 early release scheme applicants expressed urgent short-term need for funds and considerable uncertainty about the long-term consequences of their decision.
  • The $10,000 limit both guided and constrained withdrawal amounts.
  • Around 25% of surveyed members withdrew almost their entire account balance.
  • Immediate financial need (59%) and concerns for future expenditures (27%) were the main reasons members gave for accessing savings. Those who had not experienced reduced working hours were more likely to withdraw for future concerns or to protect their savings.
  • Around 30% of surveyed applicants were unsure of, or unconcerned about, the long-term consequences of their withdrawal.
  • Around 50% of surveyed applicants either underestimated, or didn’t estimate, the impact of the withdrawal on their superannuation balance at retirement.
  • Members who collected information from Cbus and from other sources, such as news services or social media, were half as likely to decide to withdraw within one day or less than members who used no information sources.
  • Members who spent longer thinking and consulted more information sources before withdrawing their savings held more realistic expectations of impacts on retirement wealth.
CEPAR
Reports & Government Submissions

Submission to Royal Commission into Aged Care Quality and Safety on the Financial Sustainability of Aged Care

Michael Sherris

This submission to the Royal Commission into Aged Care Quality and Safety provides initially some general background comments on Aged Care Financing and a discussion of Aged Care Risks and Private Market Insurance Product Innovation based on collaborative research on aged care financing and insuring. Against this background, it then provides selective responses to relevant Questions in the Consultation Paper 2 - Financing Aged Care.

cepar
Reports & Government Submissions

CEPAR Submission to the DFAT Consultation on New International Development Policy

Various CEPAR staff and affiliates contributed to this submission.
Major contributors were Katja Hanewald and John Piggott.

This submission is written in response to DFAT’s request for submissions on Australia’s proposed new international development policy. This submission proposes that policy should be developed with comprehensive understanding of, and a recognition of the importance of, demographic change and its political and socio-economic impacts across the Indo-Pacific region.

 

cepar
Reports & Government Submissions

CEPAR submission to the Retirement Income Review

Various CEPAR staff and affiliates contributed to this submission.
Major contributors included: Hazel Bateman, Rafal Chomik, Marc de Cure, Michael Keane, George Kudrna, John Piggott, Michael Sherris, and Alan Woodland

This submission was prepared for the Retirement Income Review.

There is an established evidence base to draw on

The Retirement Income Review process is explicitly seeking to establish an evidence base for policymaking. CEPAR has undertaken extensive primary research and developed supplementary material, in the form of research briefs, which provide such an evidence base.1 CEPAR Briefs contain a wealth of information that point to certain policy actions, but deliberately avoid making recommendations. In contrast, CEPAR submissions to inquiries do make recommendations.
 
We also refer to three submissions to the 2014 Financial System Inquiry (FSI), relating to the retirement income system.2 The first focused on decumulation; the second related to behaviour and guidance; and the third was on decumulation defaults. The FSI report contained many of CEPAR’s recommendations. CEPAR has made other submissions, including to the Productivity Commission on default superannuation products and to Treasury on Comprehensive Retirement Income Products (CIPRs).3
 
We have also brought to bear additional evidence from three CEPAR-supported sets of research. These consist of: (1) the Kudrna-Woodland Overlapping Generations (OLG) model of the Australian economy and retirement system, which is an up-to-date, complete, and state-of-the-art model designed to capture the economic responses to retirement policy in Australia; (2) a large literature on lifecycle risks and retirement products led by Michael Sherris; and (3) an expanding set of literature that looks at financial decision making in superannuation led by Hazel Bateman.
 
This submission makes use of existing CEPAR evidence and comment on key aspects of the retirement income system under the following headings: (1) system structure; (2) parametric reforms; (3) decumulation; (4) decision guidance; and (5) equity.
 
The retirement income system is embedded in a wider economic and demographic context
 
Recommendations in this submission assume underlying long term macro-demographic expectations that:
  • Australia will continue to grow, with significant skill-based immigration and a stable fertility rate of about 1.7 to 1.8, which in combination will generate a steady increase in population, a slow rate of ageing, and modest per capita real income growth;
  • Interest rates will remain low in the medium to long term and investment returns may decline from historic averages along with some declines in productivity growth;
  • Life expectancy will continue to increase, but probably at a reduced rate in the longer term;
  • The mortality gradient will likely remain, and possibly increase, especially at mature ages (see Retirement Brief 2, Fig 4G and 4H). Clarke and Leigh (2011) estimate a 6-year gap between the lowest and highest income quintiles at age 20.
 
The retirement income system is affected by the broader economic context. But system settings can also affect the real economy (e.g., via investment and labour market effects), as shown in OLG modelling.
 

1 The following shorthand is used for key CEPAR documents referenced in this submission, which can be found at given links.

 
 
Mature workers
Reports & Government Submissions

Maximising Potential: Findings from the Mature Workers in Organisations Survey (MWOS)

Daniela Andrei, Sharon Parker, Andreea Constantin, Marian Baird, Lucinda Iles, Gretchen Petery, Leah Zoszak, Alison Williams, Shannon Chen

By 2050, almost one third of Australia’s population will be older than 60 (p. 9). With an ageing population and workforce, Australia, like many OECD countries, faces the challenge of adapting workplaces and work practices to meet the needs and interests of this changed demographic.

This report is based on research findings from a large-scale survey (N = 2009) of Australian workers aged 18 to 81. A convenience sample was obtained using online Australian panels. Our interest is in the mature workforce, so workers over 45 years were over-sampled. Younger workers were included for comparison purposes. 51% of the sample is male, and 49% is female. The sample is mostly metropolitan based (72%) and includes workers in a broad range of occupations, industries, and job roles. The spread of jobs is similar to national samples, although caution should be exercised when making inferences from this study to the Australian population.

The report is based on self-reported data collected at a single point in time and does not allow for causal inferences. Age group comparisons do not adjust for non-age specific differences in the groups. Whilst in our research we define mature workers as employees aged 45 and over, our analysis revealed consistent shifts in experiences for employees aged 55 and over. Therefore in the executive summary we highlight results for these mature workers in particular.

The survey focused on as perception of organizational practices that can support mature workers, as well as the lived experience of mature workers, according to three key themes:

  • Include – workers being welcomed and valued, irrespective of age;
  • Individualise – work that is adjusted to accommodate the changing needs and preferences of mature workers;
  • Integrate –communication and knowledge sharing across diverse age groups.
CEPAR industry report
Reports & Government Submissions

New residential mortgages and superannuation engagement

Hazel Bateman, James Brownlow, Ben Culbert, Charles Chu, Christine Eckert, Bin Fu and Susan Thorp

SUMMARY

We investigate how the decision to take out a residential mortgage is interrelated with engagement with superannuation, measured by changes in superannuation contributions and interactions with service providers (the mortgage provider and the super fund). We do so by analysing matched samples of superannuation fund members who do and do not take out mortgages in calendar year 2014. We measure the timing and size of changes in four types of superannuation contributions in the 36 months prior to and following mortgage commencement, and changes in interactions with service providers in the 6 months before and 12 months after mortgage commencement.

We find that the decision to take out a residential mortgage is associated with engagement with superannuation. Super fund members who took out a new residential mortgage in 2014 exhibited changes in their superannuation contribution behaviour before and /or after mortgage commencement (as compared with those who did not take out a mortgage), with the timing and size of these changes differing by mortgage type (owner-occupier or investment), employment status (employee or self-employed) and key demographics (gender, age and income).

Elderly couple researching pension options
Reports & Government Submissions

The impact of projections on superannuation contributions, investment choices and engagement

George Smyrnis, Hazel Bateman, Isabella Dobrescu, Benjamin R Newell, and Susan Thorp

This industry report investigates the impact of retirement income projections on superannuation contributions, investment choices and engagement from fund members.

Executive Summary:
Australian workers rely on information from their superannuation funds to ascertain if they are saving enough for retirement. Until recently, most funds gave members only their current balance to go on, leaving to the member the tough problem of translating that balance into a future lump sum or income stream. In 2013, Cbus sent approximately 20,000 members a retirement income estimate (RIE), along with their current balance, for the first time. The goal of the RIE trial was to help members grasp the implications of their current superannuation savings pattern for their retirement wellbeing.
The impact of this new message on members’ contributions, engagement, and investment choices was remarkable. We measure this impact by comparing carefully matched groups of Cbus members – a group who received the estimate and an (observationally) identical group who did not. The matched sample groups each include 15,273 Cbus members. Our analysis shows what members did up to end-June 2014, after receiving the RIE for the first time in September 2013.  This method allows us to draw inferences about the causal effect of the new communication.

John Piggott at the T20 Inception Conference in Japan
Reports & Government Submissions

Aging, Fiscal Sustainability and Adequacy of Social Security Systems

Rafal Chomik, John Piggott, and Sophie Yan

This policy brief was prepared for the T20 Task Force on Aging Population and its Economic Impact + Immigration.

Abstract: Population ageing poses unique challenges for social security systems. Developed countries, with well-established structures, will face increasing age-related spending. They will require further reforms that balance spending cuts against core promises across generations. Most emerging economies, on the other hand, lack comprehensive social security yet are ageing rapidly. They must establish comprehensive retirement income support structures, universal health services, and publicly supported long term care in a rapidly changing macro-demographic environment.

This policy brief, while bringing a broad perspective to these challenges, focuses its policy analysis on retirement income, the first frontier in reforming social security systems in an ageing world. In line with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, our key policy recommendation is that future social security reforms be re-directed towards a greater emphasis on non-contributory pension programs that can provide a much-needed safety net for older people. These will be the most important structures to deliver the SDGs, especially for emerging economies.


More details on CEPAR's involvement in the Task Force 10: Aging Population and its Economic Impact + Immigration can be found on CEPAR's newsroom: 

Elderly couple researching pension options online
Reports & Government Submissions

Submission to Productivity Commission Inquiry into Superannuation

Hazel Bateman and Susan Thorp

This submission was prepared for the public inquiry into Superannuation: Assessing Competitiveness and Efficiency.

The submission comments on the Productivity Commission Draft Report, Superannuation: Assessing Efficiency and Competitiveness. The approach is to comment briefly on selected Draft Recommendations and, where appropriate, refer the Commission to relevant academic papers.

More details on this inquiry can be found here.

Colleagues analysing data
Reports & Government Submissions

CEPAR Submission Number 3 to the Financial System Inquiry: Drawdown defaults

Hazel Bateman, Rafal Chomik, John Piggott, and Michael Sherris

This submission focuses on the use of defaults in superannuation drawdowns at retirement. It has been written in response to a request to CEPAR by the FSI to provide input on this issue. It builds on earlier CEPAR submissions, dated March 31 (Submission 1) and June 12 2014 (Submission 2).

Male researcher on his laptop
Reports & Government Submissions

CEPAR Supplementary submission to the FSI

Hazel Bateman, Rafal Chomik, John Piggott and Michael Sherris.

Following CEPAR's initial submission to the Financial Systems Inquiry, members of the Inquiry expressed the view that behavioural economics/finance had been underdone in the submission. CEPAR has put together a supplementary submission addressing this area.

 

 

Australian currency
Reports & Government Submissions

National Transfer Accounts for Australia: 2003-04 and 2009-10 Detailed Results

James Mahmud Rice, Jeromey Temple and Peter McDonald

With demographic and economic changes on the horizon, an understanding of the production and consumption behavior of all Australians, but mature age Australians in particular, is indispensible. This project seeks to enhance our understanding of the economic lifecycle by developing National Transfer Accounts (NTA) for Australia.

The formal definition of the NTA is "a system of macroeconomic accounts that measures current economic flows by age in a manner consistent with the United Nations System of National Accounts. NTA measures age- specific labour income, asset income, consumption, transfers and saving, accounting for flows within households, between households, through the public sector and with the rest of the world" (UN,2013).

Couple researching
Reports & Government Submissions

CEPAR submission on the Productivity Commission draft report: Caring for Older Australians

Hal Kendig

CEPAR Chief Investigator, Hal Kendig, calls for a well-resourced Aged Care and Support Research Program, and for greater leadership and strategic investment by the Australian Government in its resourcing of research funding for aged care, including the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) and the Australian Research Council (ARC).