Publications

Research Publications

Sleep Difficulty and Disease in a Cohort of Very Old Women

1 Sep 2016

Leigh, L., Hudson, I.L. and Byles, J.E. (2016). Journal of Ageing and Health, 28(6), 1090-1104.

Research Publications

Fertility and Female Labour Force Participation: Causal Evidence from Urban China

1 Sep 2016

He, X. and Zhu, R. (2016). The Manchester School, 84(5), 664-674.

Research Publications

Does Action Follow Intention with Participation in Home and Group-based Falls Prevention Exercise Programs? An Exploratory, Prospective, Observational Study

1 Sep 2016

Haines, T., Hill, K., Vu, T., Clemson, L., Finch, C. and Day, L. (2016). Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics, 64, 151-161.

Research Publications

The Nurses' Health Study and the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health: Providing Infrastructure for Public Health Research

1 Sep 2016

Dobson, A.J., Byles, J.E. and Brown, W.J. (2016). The American Journal of Public Health, 106(9), 1533-1534.

Research Publications

Modelling Lifetime Dependence for Older Ages using a Multivariate Pareto Distribution.

1 Sep 2016

Alai, D.H., Landsman, Z. and Sherris, M. (2016). Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 70, 272-285.

Research Publications

Guarantee Valuation in Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems

1 Sep 2016

Alonso-García, J. and Devolder, P. (2016). Astin Bulletin: The Journal of the ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association, 46(3), 677-707.

Download Read more

Research Publications

Fertility, marriage, and family planning in Iran: Implications for future policy.

1 Aug 2016

Hosseini-Chavoshi, M., Abbassi-Shavazi, M-J. and McDonald, P. (2016). Population Horizons

Working Papers

High Age Mortality and Frailty. Some remarks and hints for Actuarial Modeling

1 Aug 2016

Ermanno Pitacco

This paper provides some introductory remarks to critical biometric aspects underlying risk identification and risk assessment for life annuity portfolios and pension funds. On the one hand, statistical evidence shows, in many populations, a deceleration in mortality increase at very old ages, in particular a non-exponential increase in the age-pattern of mortality. On the other hand, causes of this feature of the age-pattern of mortality constitute a rather controversial issue.

Nevertheless, a deceleration in the mortality increase can analytically be explained by the (reasonable) assumption of heterogeneity with respect to mortality inside a cohort, and, in particular, in terms of non-observable risk factors, which can be represented, for each individual in the population, by his/her “frailty” level. T

Download

Working Papers

Migration and its Effects on Population Growth and Composition

1 Aug 2016

Peter McDonald

Migration is one of the three demographic processes that contribute to changes in the size of a population, the other two being fertility and mortality. Fertility is the process by which births are added to a population and mortality is the process by which the population is reduced by deaths.

Unlike fertility and mortality, migration has the additional complexity that it affects two populations at the same time: the place of origin and the place of destination.

Download

Research Publications

Retirement and its Consequences for Women's Health in Australia

1 Aug 2016

Zhu, R. (2016). Social Science and Medicine, 163, 117-125.

Research Publications

Relationship Between Antihypertensive Medications and Cognitive Impairment: Part 1. Review of Human Studies and Clinical Trials

1 Aug 2016

Yasar, S., Schuchman, M., Peters, J., Anstey, K.J., Carlson, M.C. and Peters, R. (2016). Current Hypertension Reports, 18(8), 67.

Research Publications

Housing Tax Reform: Is There a Way Forward?

1 Aug 2016

Wood, G., Ong, R. and Cigdem, M. (2016). Economic Papers, 35(4), 332-346.

Research Publications

A Longitudinal Analysis of General Practitioner Service use by Patients with Mild Cognitive Disorders in Australia

1 Aug 2016

O’Donoughue Jenkins, L., Butterworth, P. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Dementia and Geriatric Cognitive Disorders, 41(5-6), 324-333.

Research Publications

Social Dancing and Incidence of Falls in Older Adults: A Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial

1 Aug 2016

Merom, D., Mathieu, E., Cerin, E., Morton, R.L., Simpson, J.M., Rissel, C., Anstey, K.J., Sherrington, C., Lord, S.R. and Cumming, R.G. (2016). PLOS Medicine. In press (available online August 2016).

Research Publications

Cognitive Benefits of Social Dancing and Walking in Old Age: The Dancing Mind Randomised Controlled Trial

1 Aug 2016

Merom, D., Grunseit, A., Eramudugolla, R., Jefferis, B., McNeil, J. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience, 8(26).

Research Publications

The Economics of Cognitive Impairment: Volunteering and Cognitive Function in the HILDA Survey

1 Aug 2016

Hosking, D.E. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Gerontology, 62(5), 536-540.

Research Publications

End of Life Hospitalizations Differ for Older Australian Women According to Death Trajectory: A Longitudinal Data Linkage Study

1 Aug 2016

Harris, M., Dolja-Gore, X., Kendig, H. and Byles, J.E. (2016). BMC Health Services Research, 16(484).

Research Publications

Impact of Asthma on Mortality in Older Women: An Australian Cohort Study of 10413 Women

1 Aug 2016

Eftekhari, P., Forder, P.M., Majeed, T. and Byles, J.E. (2016). Respiratory Medicine, 119, 102-108.

Research Publications

Patterns of Hospitalization Risk for Women Surviving into Very Old Age: Findings from the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health

1 Aug 2016

Dolja-Gore, X., Harris, M., Kendig, H. and Byles, J. (2016). Medical Care. In press (available online August 2016).

Research Publications

Changes in Housing among Older Women: Latent Class Analysis of Housing Patterns in Older Australian Women

1 Aug 2016

Byles, J.E., Curryer, C., Vo, K., Forder, P., Loxton, D. and McLaughlin, D. (2016). Urban Studies. In press (available online August 2016).

Research Publications

Individual Capability and Effort in Retirement Benefit Choice. Journal of Risk and Insurance

1 Aug 2016

Bateman, H., Eckert, C., Iskhakov, F., Louviere, J., Satchell, S. and Thorp, S. (2016). Journal of Risk and Insurance. In press (available online August 2016).

Working Papers

Optimal Portfolio Choice with Health-contingent Income Products: The Value of Life Care Annuities

1 Jul 2016

Shang Wu, Hazel Bateman and Ralph Stevens

Whereas there is ample evidence that life-contingent income products (life annuities) have the potential to improve individual welfare, combining them with health-contingent income products (resulting in so-called life care annuities) would serve to further increase welfare for individuals who are exposed to uncertain out-of-pocket healthcare expenditure later in life.

We develop a life-cycle model of annuitization, consumption, and investment decisions for a single retired individual who faces stochastic capital market returns, uncertain health status, differential mortality risks, and uncertain out-of-pocket healthcare expenditure with cost of dying.

Download

Working Papers

Aging and Health Financing in the US: A General Equilibrium Analysis

1 Jul 2016

Juergen Jung, Chung Tran and Matthew Chambers

We quantify the effects of population aging on the US healthcare system. Our analysis is based on a stochastic general equilibrium overlapping generations model of endogenous health accumulation calibrated to match pre-2010 U.S. data. We find that population aging not only leads to large increases in medical spending but also a large shift in the relative size of public vs. private insurance.

Without the Affordable Care Act (ACA), aging itself leads to a 36:6 percent increase in health expenditures by 2060 and a 5 percent increase in GDP which is driven by the expansion of the healthcare sector.

Download

Research Publications

Perceptions of Successful Ageing among Iranian Elders: Insights From a Qualitative Study

1 Jul 2016

Zanjari, N., Sharifian Sani, M., Hosseini-Chavoshi, M., Rafiey, H. and Mohammadi, F. (2016). The International Journal of Aging and Human Development, 83(4), 381-401.

Research Publications

Valuation of Guaranteed Minimum Maturity Benefits in Variable Annuities with Surrender Options

1 Jul 2016

Shen, Y., Sherris, M. and Ziveyi, J. (2016). Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 69, 127-137.

Research Publications

Older Adult Perceptions of Participation in Group- and Home-Based Falls Prevention Exercise

1 Jul 2016

Robins, L., Hill, K., Day, L., Clemson, L., Finch, C. and Haines, T. (2016). Journal of Aging and Physical Activity, 24(3), 350-362.

Research Publications

A Comparison of Fertility in Canada and Australia 1926- 2011

1 Jul 2016

McDonald, P. and Belander, A. (2016). Canadian Studies in Population. Demographic Trends in Canada and Australia: Special Issue Devoted to Graeme Hugo, 43(1-2), 5-22.

Research Publications

Exploring Workforce Participation Patterns and Chronic Diseases among Middle-Aged Australian Men and Women Over the Life Course

1 Jul 2016

Majeed, T., Forder, P.M., Mishra, G., Kendig, H. and Byles, J.E. (2016). Journal of Aging Health. In press (available online March 2016).

Research Publications

Progressive Temporal Change in Serum SHBG, but not in Serum Testosterone or Estradiol, is Associated with Bone Loss and Incident Fractures in Older Men: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Jul 2016

Hsu, B., Seibel, M.J., Cumming, R.G., Blyth, F.M., Naganathan, V., Bleicher, K., Le Couteur, D.G., Waite, L.M. and Handelsman, D.J. (2016). Journal of Bone and Mineral Research, 31(12), 2115-2122.

Research Publications

Bilateral Social Security Agreements and Pensions Portability: A Study of Four Migrant Corridors between EU and Non-EU Countries

1 Jul 2016

Holzmann, R. (2016). International Social Security Review, 69(3-4), 109-130.

Research Publications

Portfolio Choice in Retirement - What is the Optimal Home Equity Release Product?

1 Jul 2016

Hanewald, K., Post, T. and Sherris, M. (2016). Journal of Risk and Insurance, 83(2), 421-446.

Research Publications

Introduction: Comparative Demography of Canada and Australia

1 Jul 2016

Beaujot, R. and McDonald, P.(2016). Canadian Studies in Population. Demographic Trends in Canada and Australia: Special Issue Devoted to Graeme Hugo, 43(1-2), 1-4.

Research Publications

Optimal Mix between Pay-as-you-go and Funding for DC Pension Schemes in an Overlapping Generations Model

1 Jul 2016

Alonso-García, J. and Devolder, P. (2016). Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 70, 224-236.

Research Publications

Epidemiologic Transition in Australia: The Last Hundred Years

1 Jul 2016

Booth, H., Tickle, L. and Zhao, J. (2016). Canadian Studies in Population. Demographic Trends in Canada and Australia: Special Issue Devoted to Graeme Hugo, 43(1-2), 23-47.

Research Publications

Technology for Dementia: Attitudes and Practices of Occupational Therapists in Providing Assistive Technology for Way Finding

13 Jun 2016

Jarvis, F., Clemson, L., & Mackenzie, L. (2016) Disability and Rehabilitation: Assistive Technology.

Research Publications

Multifactorial and Multiple Component Interventions for Preventing Falls in Older People Living in the Community (Protocol)

6 Jun 2016

Hopewell, S., Adedire, O., Copsey, B., Sherrington, C., Clemson, L., Close, J., & Lamb, S. (2017). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews.

Working Papers

Optimal Inheritance Tax under Temptation

1 Jun 2016

Monisankar Bishnu, Cagri S. Kumru and Arm Nakornthab

In this paper we derive the expression for optimal inheritance tax when agents' preferences are subject to temptation and self control problem. We consider a dynamic stochastic model as in Piketty and Saez (2013) where agents are heterogeneous in terms of bequest motives and labor productivities. In such a setup we show that the optimal inheritance tax rate decreases with the level of temptation, and thus it works as an incentive mechanism that leads to more bequests and makes succumbing to temptation less attractive.

In fact, when temptation is acute, a subsidy may be justified at any percentile of bequest received. This holds independent of the variation in the models used in the literature as well as the assumption of labor elasticity. The study also reveals some interesting observations. Though from the point of view of incentives, this result has the same essence as in Krusell et al. (2010) where temptation justifies a subsidy on capital, we show that unlike their other policy prescription, the long run equilibrium does not demand a constant subsidy.

Download

Research Publications

Securing Personal Input from Individuals Aging with Intellectual Disability: Do Differing Methodologies Produce Equivalent Information?

1 Jun 2016

Wark, S., Canon-Vanry, M., Knox, M., Parmenter, M., Hussain, R., Janicki, M., Leggatt-Cook, C., Edwards, M. and Parmenter, T. (2016). Review of Disability Studies, 12(2 and 3).

Research Publications

Managing Longevity Risk by Implementing Sustainable Full Retirement Age Policies

1 Jun 2016

Stevens, R. (2016). Journal of Risk and Insurance. In press (available online June 2016).

Research Publications

Longitudinal Change in Everyday Function and Behavioral Symptoms in Frontotemporal Dementia

1 Jun 2016

O’Connor, C.M., Clemson, L., Hornberger, M., Leyton, C.E., Hodges, J.R., Piguet, O. and Mioshi, E. (2016). Neurology Clinical Practice. In press (available online June 2016).

Research Publications

The Impact of Frailty on Mortality, Length of Stay and Re-hospitalisation in Older Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

1 Jun 2016

Nguyen, T., Cumming, R.G. and Hillmer, S. (2016). Heart, Lung and Circulation, 25(6), 551-557.

Research Publications

Demographic Change in the Asian Century: Implications for Australia and the Region

1 Jun 2016

McDonald, P. (2016). Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, 3(2), 155-172.

Research Publications

Association between Nighttime Sleep and Successful Aging among Older Chinese People

1 Jun 2016

Liu, H., Byles, J.E., Xu, X., Zhang, M., Wu, X. and Hall, J.J. (2016). Sleep Medicine, 22, 18-24.

Research Publications

Assessing Reliability of Short Tick Box Forms of the ANU-ADRI: Convenient Alternatives of a Self-report Alzheimer’s Disease Risk Assessment

1 Jun 2016

Kim, S., Cherbuin, N. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Alzheimer's & Dementia: Translational Research & Clinical Interventions, 2(2), 93-98.

Research Publications

How to Model Consumer Heterogeneity? Lessons from Three Case Studies on SP and RP Data

1 Jun 2016

Keane, M.P. and Wasi, N. (2016). Research in Economics, 70(2), 167-231.

Research Publications

Sexual Function and Mortality in Older Men: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Jun 2016

Hsu, B., Hirani, V., Naganathan, V., Blyth, F.M., Le Couteur, D.G., Seibel, M.J., Waite, L.M., Handelsman, D.J. and Cumming, R.G. (2016). The Journals of Gerontology: Series A. In press (available online June 2016).

Research Publications

First Incident Hospitalisation for Australian Women Aged 70 and Beyond: A 10 Year Examination using Competing Risks

1 Jun 2016

Harris, M., Dolja-Gore, X., Kendig, H. and Byles, J.E. (2016). Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics, 64, 29-37.

Research Publications

The Prevalence and Cross-sectional Associations of Self-reported Neuropathic Pain among Older, Community-dwelling Women with Arthritis

1 Jun 2016

De Luca, K., Parkinson, L., Byles, J.E., Lo, T., Pollard, H. and Blyth, F. (2016). Pain Medicine. In press (available online February 2016).

Research Publications

Perceived Control and Social Activity in Midlife and Older Age: A Reciprocal Association? Findings from the German Ageing Survey

1 Jun 2016

Curtis, R.G., Huxhold, O. and Windsor, T.D. (2016). The Journals of Gerontology, Series B: Psychological and Social Sciences. In press (available online June 2016).

Research Publications

Patterns of Social Engagement in the Transition to Later Life

1 Jun 2016

Burn, K., Dennerstein, L., Browning, C. and Szoeke, C. (2016). Maturitas, 88, 90-95.

Research Publications

Partner Status and Mental and Physical Health of Independently Living Men Aged 70 Years and Older

1 Jun 2016

Byles, J.E., Vo, K., Mackenzie, L., Thomas, L. and Kendig, H. (2016). Australasian Journal on Ageing, 35(2), 143-146.

Working Papers

Flicking the Switch: How Fee and Return Disclosures Drive Retirement Plan Choice

1 May 2016

Hazel Bateman, Isabella Dobrescu, Ben R. Newell, Andreas Ortmann and Susan Thorp

Short, standardized financial product disclosures should make comparisons easier, support better choices and reduce welfare losses. Using incentivized experiments, we investigate how and when prescribed fee and return information in standardized disclosures prompt efficient switches between retirement plans. Our choice data suggests members rely accurately on fee information but are reluctant to use returns information as a basis for switching plans, even when a switch is warranted.

This reluctance persists even when returns have very low volatility. In addition, many of the prescribed information items are poorly understood by members. A simplified disclosure format can lead to more efficient comparisons of returns and significantly higher final account balances.

Download

Research Publications

Enhancing Caregivers’ Understanding of Dementia and Tailoring Activities in Frontotemporal Dementia: Two Case Studies

1 May 2016

O’Connor, C.M., Clemson, L., Brodaty, H., Gitlin, L.N., Piguet, O. and Mioshi, E. (2016). Disability and Rehabilitation, 38(7), 704-714.

Research Publications

Prevalence, Risk Factors and Pharmacological Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation in Older Hospitalized Patients in Vietnam

1 May 2016

Nguyen, T.N., Huyen, T.V., Thanh, X.N., Thang, P., Hilmer, S.N. and Cumming, R.G. (2016). International Cardiovascular Forum Journal, 8, 79-84.

Research Publications

A Cross-sectional Study of Hyponatraemia among Elderly Patients with Heart Failure in Uganda

1 May 2016

Nankabirwa, H., Kalyesubula, R., Ssinabulya, I., Katabira, E.T. and Cumming, R.G. (2016). BMJ Open, 6, e009775.

Research Publications

A Budget Proposal for China's Long Term Care Policy

1 May 2016

Lu, B., Liu, X. and Yang, M. (2016). Journal of Aging and Social Policy. In press (available online May 2016).

Research Publications

Australia's Retirement Income Policy: Means Testing and Taxation of Pensions

1 May 2016

Kudnra, G. (2016). CESifo DICE Report, 14(1), 3-9.

Research Publications

Labour Supply: The Roles of Human Capital and The Extensive Margin

1 May 2016

Keane, M.P. and Wasi, N. (2016). Economic Journal, 126(592), 578-617.

Research Publications

Life-Cycle Labour Supply with Human Capital: Econometric and Behavioural Implications

1 May 2016

Keane, M.P. (2016). Economic Journal, 126(592), 546-577.

Research Publications

A Critical Review of Grading Systems: Implications for Health Policy

1 May 2016

Irving, M., Eramudugolla, R., Cherbuin, N. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Evaluation & the Health Professions. In press (available online May 2016).

Research Publications

Perceptions of Coping with Nondisease Related Life Stress for Women with Osteoarthritis: A Qualitative Analysis

1 May 2016

Harris, M.L., Byles, J.E., Townsend, N. and Loxton, D. (2016). BMJ Open, 6(5), e010630.

Research Publications

Partner Scale Economies, Service Bundling and Auditor Independence in the Australian Self-Managed Superannuation Fund Industry

1 May 2016

Arnold, B., Bateman, H., Ferguson, A. and Raftery, A. (2016). Auditing: A Journal of Practice and Theory. In press (available online August 2016).

Research Publications

Association of Genetic Risk Factors with Cognitive Decline: The PATH Through Life Project

1 May 2016

Alonso-García, J. and Devolder, P. (2016). Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 70, 224-236.

Research Publications

An Examination of the Long-term Impact of Job Strain on Mental Health and Wellbeing over a 12-year period

1 May 2016

Burns, R.A., Butterworth, P. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, 51(5), 725-733.

Research Publications

Gender, Mental Health, Physical Health and Retirement: A Prospective Study of 21,608 Australians Aged 55 to 69 Years

1 May 2016

Byles, J.E., Vo, K., Forder, P.M., Thomas, L., Banks, E., Rodger, B. and Bauman A. (2016). Maturitas, 87, 40-48.

Research Publications

Exploring the Implementation of ‘Poslansia’, Indonesia’s Community-based Health Program for Older People

1 May 2016

Christiani, Y., Byles, J.E., Tavener, M. and Dugdale, P. (2016). Australasian Journal on Ageing, 35(3), e11-16.

Research Publications

Exposure to Air Pollution and Cognitive Functioning across the Life Course - A Systematic Literature Review

1 May 2016

Clifford, A., Lang, L., Chen, R., Anstey, K.J. and Seaton, A. (2016). Environmental Research, 147, 383-393.

Research Publications

Interventions to Delay Functional Decline in People with Dementia: a Systematic Review of Systematic Reviews.

27 Apr 2016

Laver, K., Dyer, S., Whitehead, C., Clemson, L. & Crotty, M. (2016). BMJ Open.

Research Publications

Associations between the Neighbourhood Environment Characteristics and Physical Activity in Older Adults with Specific Types of Chronic Conditions: The ALECS Cross-sectional Study

1 Apr 2016

Barnett, A., Cerin, E., Zhang, J.P.C., Sit, H.P.C., Johnston, J.M., Cheung, M.C. and Lee, R. (2016). International Journal of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity, 13(53).

Working Papers

Population Ageing and Housing: Policy Implications

1 Apr 2016

George Kudrna

Population ageing, a demographic transition that will accelerate in NSW over the next few decades, is creating economic opportunities as well as significant challenges for the NSW economy and the state government. On the one hand, a growing number of seniors represent a powerful economic force in terms of their consumption spending and their housing assets.

On the other, a rapidly growing proportion of the elderly in the population will put upward pressure on publicly funded age-related expenditures, particularly on health care spending. Furthermore, reduced population growth and a declining proportion of the working-age population is expected to lower employment growth and demand for housing, negatively affecting the government's main sources of tax revenues - payroll tax and property taxes.

Download

Working Papers

Epidemiologic Transition in Australia - The Last Hundred Years

1 Apr 2016

Heather Booth, Leonie Tickle and Jiaying Zhao

Mortality change in Australia since 1907 is analysed in the light of Epidemiologic Transition theory. Australia began the twentieth century in the second age of the Epidemiologic Transition, the Age of Receding Pandemics. In the early decades of the twentieth century, Australia was a leader in the Transition with a life expectancy about 4 years higher than many other Western countries.

By 1950, however, this advantage had been lost. Nevertheless, Australia probably moved to the third Age of Degenerative and Man-Made Diseases before 1946, which is slightly in advance of most Western countries. Transition to the fourth Age of Delayed Degenerative Diseases, is clearly marked by a downturn in about 1970 in circulatory disease mortality, concurrent with other Western countries.

Download

Research Publications

Cardiovascular Mortality Sex Differentials in Selected East Asian and Western Populations

1 Apr 2016

Zhao, J., Booth, H., Dear, K. and Jow-Ching Tu, E. (2016). Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. In press (available online April 2016).

Research Publications

The Main Signs of Ageing in People with Intellectual Disability

1 Apr 2016

Wark, S., Hussain, R. and Edwards, H. (2016). Australian Journal of Rural Health. In press (available online April 2016).

Research Publications

A Systematic Review of the Association between Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms and Falls, Injuries, and Fractures in Community-dwelling Older Men

1 Apr 2016

Noguchi, N., Chan, L., Cumming, R.G., Blyth, F.M. and Naganathan, V. (2016). Aging Male, 19(3), 168-174.

Research Publications

Factors Associated with Cognitive Function in Older Adults in Mexico

1 Apr 2016

Miu, J., Negin, J., Salinas-Rodriguez, A., Manrique-Espinoza, B., Sosa-Ortiz, A., Cumming, R.G. and Kowal, P. (2016). Global Health Action, 9, 30747.

Research Publications

Two-Child Policy, Population Ageing and Impact on Fiscal Expenditures

1 Apr 2016

Lu, B. (2016). Journal of Labour Economics, 4(3), 103-118.

Research Publications

Change in Physical Function Among Women as they Age: Findings from the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health

1 Apr 2016

Leigh, L., Byles, J.E. and Mishra, G.D. (2016). Quality of Life Research. In press (available online October 2016).

Research Publications

Banking for those Unwilling to Bank: Implications of Islamic Banking Systems

1 Apr 2016

Kumru, C and Sarntisart, S. (2016). Economic Modelling, 54, 1-12.

Research Publications

Economy-wide Effects of Means-tested Pensions: The Case of Australia

1 Apr 2016

Kudrna, G. (2016). The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 7, 17-29.

Research Publications

900 Million and Counting: Epidemiologic Data for Demographic and Policy Transitions

1 Apr 2016

Kowal, P. and Byles, J.E. (2016). Population Horizons, 12(2), 68-76.

Research Publications

Urban Australian General Practitioners' Perceptions of Falls Risk Screening, Falls Risk Assessment, and Referral Practices for Falls Prevention: An Exploratory Cross-sectional Survey Study

1 Apr 2016

Keilich, K., Mackenzie, L., Lovarini, M. and Clemson, L. (2016). Australian Health Review. In press (available online April 2016).

Research Publications

Market Inefficiency, Insurance Mandate and Welfare: US Health Care Reform 2010

1 Apr 2016

Jung, J. and Tran, C. (2016). Review of Economic Dynamics, 20, 132-159.

Research Publications

Migration, Ethnicity, and the Educational Gradient in the Jakarta Mega Urban Region: A Spatial Analysis

1 Apr 2016

Jones, G., Rangkuti, H., Utomo, A. and McDonald, P. (2016). Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies. 52(1), 55-76.

Research Publications

Temporal Trend in Androgen Status and Androgen Sensitive Outcomes in Older Men

1 Apr 2016

Hsu, B., Cumming, R.G., Hirani, V., Blyth, F.M., Naganathan, V., Le Couteur, D.G., Seibel, M.J., Waite, L.M. and Handelsman, D.J. (2016). Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism, 101(4), 1836-1846.

Research Publications

Health and Social Support Services in Older Adults Recently Discharged from Hospital: Service Utilisation and Costs and Exploration of the Impact of a Home-exercise Intervention

1 Apr 2016

Farag, I., Howard, K., O' Rourke, S., Ferreira, M., Lord, S., Close, J., Vogler, C., Dean, C., Cumming, R.G. and Sherrington, C. (2016). BMC Geriatrics, 16(82).

Research Publications

Communication Changes Experienced by Adults with Cerebral Palsy as they Age

1 Apr 2016

Dark, L., Clemson, L. and Balandin, S. (2016). International Journal of Speech-Language Pathology, 18(6), 521-532.

Research Publications

How Well Does the Australian Aged Pension Provide Social Insurance?

1 Apr 2016

Dabbs, E. and Kumru, C. (2016). Australian Economic Papers, 55(3), 192-211.

Research Publications

Clinical Practice Guidelines for Dementia in Australia: A Step Towards Improving Uptake of Research Findings in Health and Aged Care Settings

1 Apr 2016

Clinical Practice Guidelines for Dementia in Australia Guideline Adaptation Committee. (including Clemson, L.). (2016). Australasian Journal on Ageing, 35(2), 86-89.

Working Papers

Social Health Insurance: A Quantitative Exploration

1 Mar 2016

Juergen Jung and Chung Tran

We quantitatively explore the welfare implications of three common approaches to providing social health insurance: (i) a mix of private and public health insurance (US-style), (ii) compulsory universal public health insurance (UPHI), and (iii) private health insurance for workers combined with government subsidies and price regulation.

We use a Bewley-Grossman lifecycle model calibrated to match the lifecycle structure of earnings and health risks in the US. For all three systems we find that welfare gains triggered by a combination of improvements in risk sharing and wealth redistribution dominate welfare losses caused by tax distortions and ex-post moral hazard effects. Overall, the UPHI system outperforms the other two systems in terms of welfare gains if the coinsurance rate is properly designed.

Download

Research Publications

Prevalence of the Geriatric Syndromes and Frailty in Older Men Living in the Community: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Mar 2016

Noguchi, N., Cumming, R.G., Blyth, F.M., Handelsman, D.J.H., Seibel, M.J., Waite, L.M., Le Couteur, D.G. and Naganathan, V. (2016). Australasian Journal on Ageing, 35(4), 255-261.

Research Publications

Concurrent Lifestyle Risk Factors: Clusters and Determinants in an Australian Sample

1 Mar 2016

Morris, L.J., D’Este, C., Sargent-Cox, K. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). Preventative Medicine, 84, 1-5.

Research Publications

Clinical Practice Guidelines for Dementia in Australia

1 Mar 2016

Laver, K., Cumming, R.G., Dyer, S.M., Agar, M.R., Anstey, K.J., Beattie, E., Brodaty, H., Broe, G., Clemson, L., Crotty, M., Dietz, M., Draper, B.M., Flicker, L., Friel, M., Heuzenroeder, L.M., Koch, S., Kurrle, S., Nay, R., Pond, C.D., Thompson, J., Santalucia, Y., Whitehead, C. and Yates, M. (2016). The Medical Journal of Australia, 204(5), 191-193.

Research Publications

The Keane and Runkle Estimator for Panel-data Models with Serial Correlation and Instruments that are not Strictly Exogenous

1 Mar 2016

Keane, M.P. and Neal, T. (2016). The Stata Journal, 16(3), 523- 549.

Research Publications

Stroke, Physical Function and Death over a 15-year Period in Older Australian Women

1 Mar 2016

Hubbard, I., Vo, K., Forder, P. and Byles, J.E. (2016). Stroke, 47(4), 1060-1067.

Research Publications

Temporal Changes in Androgens and Estrogens are Associated with All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Older Men

1 Mar 2016

Hsu, B., Cumming, R.G., Naganathan, V., Blyth, F.M., Le Couteur, D.G., Hirani, V., Waite, L.M., Seibel, M.J. and Handelsman, D.J. (2016). The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism, 101(5), 2201-2210.

Research Publications

Low Haemoglobin Concentrations are Associated with Sarcopenia, Physical Performance, and Disability in Older Australian Men in Cross-sectional and Longitudinal Analysis: The Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project

1 Mar 2016

Hirani, V., Blyth, F., Naganathan, V., Le Couteur, D.G., Waite, L.M., Handelsman, D.J., Hsu, B. and Cumming, R.G. (2016). Journals of Gerontology: Medical Science, 7(12), 1667-1675.

Research Publications

The Effect of Diabetes Medication on Cognitive Function: Evidence from the PATH Through Life Study

1 Mar 2016

Herath, P.M., Cherbuin, N., Eramudugolla, R. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). BioMed Research International, Article ID 7208429.

Research Publications

Predictors of Future Stroke in Adults 60-64 years Living in the Community

1 Mar 2016

Cherbuin, N., Carey, L., Mortby, M. and Anstey, K.J. (2016). World Journal of Neurology, 6(1), 14-22.

Research Publications

Understanding Decision-making towards Housework among Women with Upper Limb Repetitive Strain Injury

8 Feb 2016

Cheung, T., Clemson, L., O'Loughlin, K., & Shuttleworth, R. (2016) Australian Occupational Therapy Journal.

Research Publications

Wage Differentials between Urban Residents and Rural Migrants in Urban China during 2002-2007: A Distributional Analysis

1 Feb 2016

Zhu, R. (2015) China Economic Review.