Xiangling Liu
This paper estimates the income elasticity of house prices over a long-term time period of 1991 to 2012 for 144 LGAs in New South Wales of Australia. The income elasticity of house prices is estimated to be 0.69 by multi-factor panel data models accounting for cross-section dependence and serial correlation.
Ching Choi and Peng Yu
Population ageing can contribute to a shortage in labour supply. An obvious and popular response to this is to encourage workers to delay their retirement.
Yajing Xu, Michael Sherris and Jonathan Ziveyi
Cohort effects have been identified in many countries. However, some mortality models only consider the modelling and projection of age-period effects. Others, that incorporate cohort effects, do not consider cohort specific survival curves that are important for pricing and hedging purposes.
Man Chung Fung, Katja Ignatieva and Michael Sherris
Developing a liquid longevity market requires reliable and well-designed financial instruments. An index-based longevity swap and a cap are analysed in this paper under a tractable stochastic mortality model.
Changyu Liu and Michael Sherris
Pension funds and life insurers offering annuities hold long term liabilities linked to longevity. Risk management of life annuity portfolios aims to immunize or hedge both interest rate and mortality risks. Standard fixed interest duration-convexity hedging must be adapted to allow for both interest rate and longevity risk.
George Kudrna, Chung Tran and Alan Woodland
In this paper, we investigate two fiscal policy options to mitigate fiscal pressure arising from an ageing of Australian population: pension cuts or tax hikes. Using a computable overlapping generations model, we find that while the two policy options achieve the same fiscal goal, the macroeconomic and welfare outcomes differ significantly.
George Kudrna
The Australian government has recently strengthened the means test of the age pension by raising the income reduction (taper) rate and also introduced labour earnings exemptions from the means testing to encourage labour supply of older Australians.
George Kudrna, Chung Tran and Alan Woodland
In this paper, we develop a small open economy, overlapping generations model that incorporates non-stationary demographic transition paths to study the dynamic fiscal effects of demographic shift in Australia.
Adam W. Shao, Michael Sherris and Joelle H. Fong
This paper presents a comprehensive assessment of premiums, reserves and solvency capital requirements for long-term care (LTC) insurance policies using Activities of Daily Living (ADLs) and U.S. data.
